Sample 03

What Your Dashboards Tell the Board That the Data Doesn’t Support

The board’s most important numbers looked credible. They were wrong.

Executive Analytics & KPI Audit · “Arcadia Workflow”, $31.4M ARR B2B SaaS · 6 pages

Tidal Arc

The situation

Two consecutive board meetings had been spent reconciling conflicting numbers, with the FY27 plan about to be locked. The reporting layer was technically well built — Looker, dbt, 61 dashboards — and leadership trusted it. That trust was the exposure: the numbers that mattered most were being used to make significant decisions, and nobody had recomputed them.

What leadership believed 121% NRR

Above the top quartile. The FY27 expansion plan — $4.2M from the existing base — is funded.

What the recomputation showed 110% NRR

Below the peer median of 115%. The same customers support roughly $2.6M — the plan carried a $1.6M unfunded gap.

The finding

This is not a data-quality assessment. Severity here is graded on decision consequence, not on data aesthetics: three of eight findings changed decisions already made. The rest cost credibility and analyst capacity. The value isn’t finding eight issues — it’s knowing which ones distort major decisions, which matter most, and what to fix first.

Finding 1 in one chart — retention as reported vs. recomputed on a fixed starting cohort, trailing twelve months.

NRR — as reportedsurvivor-cohort method 121%
NRR — recomputedfixed starting cohort 110%
GRR — recomputednot reported today 86.8%

Scale 0–125% · thin vertical rule = peer median (NRR 115%, GRR 89%; B2B SaaS $25–100M ARR band) · illustrative data

Both figures use the same twelve months of ARR movement: a $22.0M starting base, +$5.06M expansion, −$0.90M contraction, −$2.00M churn. The reported method drops churned accounts from the denominator as well as the numerator — dividing $24.16M by $20.0M instead of by $22.0M.

The three findings that changed a decision.

#FindingDecision it distortsFix
F1NRR overstated by 11 points by the survivor-cohort method — an expansion rate among survivors, mislabeled as retentionFY27 expansion plan; board narrative2 days
F2“Active account” defined as any login; 412 of 1,180 accounts (35%) recorded zero completed core workflows — CS was routing attention away from the accounts most likely to shrinkCS prioritisation; onboarding case3 days
F3Contraction is not measured; only full churn is reported. An account renewing at 60% of prior value appears as a retained, healthy customerRenewal risk forecasting; pricing4 days

The remaining five, briefly. Ranked the same way — by what they distort, not by how they look.

#FindingSeverityDecision it distorts
F4Marketing and Sales attribution double-count 24% of pipelineHigh$3.4M H2 channel budget
F5Exec dashboard and board deck disagree on ARR by $1.4MHighBoard credibility
F6Pipeline coverage of 3.4× is 1.9× when risk-adjustedMediumSales hiring pace
F7No leading indicator exists for the stated #1 FY27 priorityMediumWhether the onboarding spend works
F861 dashboards, 9 definitions of “customer”, 38 near-unusedMedium~30% of analyst capacity

F8 is last on the list deliberately. It is the most visible problem and the least consequential — and fixing it first is the most common way an audit like this gets absorbed into a tooling project and quietly stops changing decisions.

The decision that changed

The FY27 plan was rebuilt on restated numbers — before it was locked.

NRR restated on a fixed starting cohort, “active” redefined as real workflow completion, a contraction line added to retention reporting, one ARR definition chosen as the board number. And the judgment call that mattered most: what not to fix first — no dashboard consolidation, no metrics-catalogue tool in the first 90 days. Both are visible, satisfying, and orthogonal to every finding above. Fix the definitions first; the sprawl becomes tractable once there is a governed set of metrics to consolidate toward.

This might be your problem if…

Your board, Finance, and operating teams use different versions of the same metrics — or decisions depend on numbers nobody has independently recomputed.

How it was done

9 business days, fixed price. Independent reviewer — Tidal Arc framed the questions, ran every recomputation from the warehouse, and owns every conclusion. Inputs: 61 dashboards, the KPI definition doc, the dbt model layer, four board decks, the plan model, and 45-minute interviews with the CFO, VP Sales, VP CS, and Head of Analytics.

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